The reported industrial vacancy rates in San Francisco and surrounding Peninsula areas increased to 3.6% at the end of Q1 2019 (up from 3.3% in Q4 2018). Demand for warehouse space specific to the Bayshore Corridor of San Francisco continues to outpace supply as referenced by the critically low vacancy rate of 2.5% (down from 2.9% in Q4 2018). Few new industrial properties have been constructed in San Francisco proper in the last decade, with zero new deliveries in Q1 2019. South San Francisco & the Peninsula has a reported 2+ million square feet of mostly R&D and biotech product currently under construction, with 460,000+/- square feet slated for delivery in Q2 2019.
Q1 2019 ended with over-all asking rents (industrial and flex) up from $2.45 per square foot to $2.49 square foot, representing a 2% increase over the previous quarter. Comparatively, current average US industrial asking rents are reported as $.71 per square foot. Asking rents specific to warehouse product increased from $1.87 psf in Q4 2018 to $1.88 at the end Q1 2019. Quoted daily warehouse asking rents for the Bayshore Corridor as of March 31, 2019 are reported as $2.04 per square foot, up from $1.94 psf as of December 31, 2018. Year-over-year asking rents are up 21.5% from Q1 2018 ($2.05 psf).
Q1 2019 Industrial sale transactions are up slightly from Q4 2018 with $274M in sales volume averaging $323.46 per square foot compared to $225M in sales averaging $313.00 per square foot in Q4 2018. CAP rates averaged 4.85% in Q1 2019, representing a decrease over Q4 2018 CAP rates of 4.875%. National CAP rates averaged 6.7% in both Q4 2018 and Q1 2019, respectively.
Calco Commercial has leased and sold 408,170+/- square feet of industrial, flex, office and land in Q1 2019 comprising 24 transactions. Following are the notable Q1 2019 transactions: 2070 Newcomb Avenue, San Francisco (20,000 +/- sf – industrial/sale), 2600 Geneva Avenue, Daly City (12,000+/- sf – warehouse & 307,000+/- sf land/lease), 245-247 Utah Avenue, S. San Francisco (17,263/- sf warehouse/lease), and 615 Bayshore Boulevard, San Francisco (10,200+/- sf warehouse/lease). Calco Commercial is a leading industrial & commercial real estate firm with decades of experience in Landlord /Owner representation, and re-positioning assets into net leased properties with in-place income streams. Let us help make the most of your real estate properties and investments.
If you would like to discuss your real estate options, or would simply like more information related to current market conditions, please call our office a 415.970.0000, or directly contact one of our professionals.
Click here for the full Q1 Market Report 2019: Q1 2019 Industrial Market Report